As there may be a delay between

the first low CD4 cell count and initiation of ART, we excluded patients who had been followed up for <6 months after the low CD4 cell count. We then identified patients who had still not initiated ART by the time of their last clinic visit. Follow-up on all patients was right-censored on 1 January 2009. Associations between the characteristics of the patients at the time of their low CD4 cell count and calendar year were assessed for significance using χ2 tests buy GSK458 and Mann–Whitney U tests. We used proportional hazards regression to identify factors associated with more rapid ART uptake, considering both fixed (sex/risk group, age, ethnicity, previous AIDS, the first CD4 count < 350 cells/μL and calendar year of measurement) Tacrolimus in vivo and time-updated (calendar year of follow-up, the number and proportion of subsequent CD4 measurements that were < 350 cells/μL, the average of the previous two CD4 counts at any point in time, and the latest CD4 percentage and HIV viral load) covariates. Because of the strong correlation between the two calendar year covariates, only one

of these (calendar year of follow-up) could be included in the final multivariable model. All analyses were performed using sas version 9.1 (SAS Institute, Cary, NC), and all P-values are two-sided. Of the 33 661 patients with >1 day of follow-up, 6167 had a confirmed low CD4 count < 350 cells/μL between 2004 and 2008 and had not started ART at this time; of these, 4871 Beta adrenergic receptor kinase (79.0%) remained under follow-up in 2008 and formed the study group for our analysis. The median first CD4 count less than the 350 cells/μL threshold was 233 [interquartile range (IQR) 120, 300] cells/μL (Table 1). A total of 4435 (91.0%) patients started ART, 2920 (60.0%) in the first 6 months after the low count and 1515 (31.1%) at a later time-point. The median time to initiation of ART after the low CD4 cell count was 0.31 (95% confidence interval 0.28, 0.33) years (Table 1), although this dropped from 0.42 years

for those with a low CD4 cell count in 2004 to 0.24 years for those with a low CD4 cell count in 2008 (P = 0.001; log-rank test). Among the 436 patients who remained untreated in 2008, the median last available CD4 count was 320 (IQR 260, 380) cells/μL, with two-thirds (n = 278; 63.8%) having a last CD4 count < 350 cells/μL [the last CD4 count was <100, 100–199, 200–299 and 300–349 cells/μL in 14 (3.2%), 34 (7.8%), 126 (28.9%) and 104 (23.9%) patients, respectively]. After the first confirmed CD4 count < 350 cells/μL, these patients had a further 9 (IQR 5, 16) CD4 measurements of which a median of 50% (IQR 29, 80%) were also < 350 cells/μL; the median time between consecutive CD4 cell counts in this group was 79.5 (IQR 28, 126) days.